Probability
Posts tagged with probability.
Posts
- Objective vs. Subjective Probability
- Measure, Vantage, Branchcone, and Counterfactuals - Formal definitions of four key QBU concepts.
- Defending Bayes - First in 5-part series defending Bayesian epistemology within QBU against Deutsch/Hall objections.
- QBism vs. Many Worlds - Compares two quantum interpretations.
- Defending Bayes, Part 4 - Short post connecting indexical uncertainty (Yudkowsky) with timeline uncertainty.
- A Gigaplex of Parallel Lives - Quantifies personal identity across QBU branches.
- Defending Bayes, Part 5 - Extends credence taxonomy beyond timeline uncertainty.
- Heads or Tails - Illustrates Measure vs Credence dynamics via coin flip scenario.
- Yes, We Can Assign Probabilities to Counterfactuals - Response to Sara Imari Walker’s claim that probabilistic causation is incoherent.
- Defending Bayes, Part 9 (Interlude) - Critical conceptual clarification distinguishing Measure (objective physical probability) from Crede
- Randomness and Determinism - Clarifies confusion between determinism and predictability using π digits (deterministic but statist
- Cosmic Coincidence - This post analyzes the sun/moon angular size coincidence—both appear ~0.5 degrees from Earth, enabli
- Probability Without Collapse - A technical philosophy of physics essay that solves one of quantum mechanics’ most notorious puzzles
- When All Possibilities Happen - This essay explores the implications of many-worlds quantum mechanics for agency, probability, and e